1. Ukubuka Konke Kwemakethe Yomhlaba Wonke
Imakethe yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe ye-polyethylene terephthalate (PET) kulindeleke ukuthi ifinyelele amathani ayizigidi ezingama-42 ngo-2025, okumele izinga lokukhula ngonyaka elihlanganisiwe elingu-5.3% kusukela emazingeni ka-2023. I-Asia iyaqhubeka nokubusa ukugeleza kokuhweba kwe-PET emhlabeni jikelele, okubalwa cishe u-68% wesamba sokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, kulandelwe yi-Middle East ngo-19% kanye ne-America ngo-9%.
Abashayeli Ababalulekile Bemakethe:
- Isidingo esikhulayo samanzi asemabhodleleni kanye neziphuzo ezibandayo emazweni asafufusa
- Ukwamukelwa okwandisiwe kwe-PET ephinde yasetshenziswa (rPET) emaphaketheni
- Ukukhula kokukhiqizwa kwefayibha ye-polyester yezindwangu
- Ukwandiswa kwezicelo ze-PET zezinga lokudla
2. Ukuguquguquka Kwesifunda Kokuthumela Ngaphandle
I-Asia-Pacific (68% yokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe emhlabeni jikelele)
- I-China: Kulindeleke ukuthi igcine isabelo semakethe esingu-45% naphezu kwemithethonqubo yezemvelo, kanye nokwengezwa kwamandla amasha ezifundazweni zaseZhejiang naseFujian
- I-India: Umthengisi okhula ngokushesha kakhulu ngokukhula okungu-14% ngonyaka, ezuza ezinhlelweni zokukhuthaza ezixhumene nokukhiqiza
- INingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia: IVietnam neThailand bavela njengabaphakeli abahlukile ngentengo encintisanayo ($1,050-$1,150/MT FOB)
IMpumalanga Ephakathi (19% yokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe)
- I-Saudi Arabia ne-UAE zisebenzisa izintambo zenani ezihlanganisiwe ze-PX-PTA
- Izindleko zamandla ezincintisanayo zigcina izinzuzo ezingu-10-12%
- Amanani e-CFR Europe alindeleke ku-$1,250-$1,350/MT
IMelika (9% yokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe)
- IMexico iqinisa isikhundla njengesikhungo esiseduze semikhiqizo yase-US
- IBrazil ibusa ukuphakelwa kweNingizimu Melika ngokukhula ngo-8% kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe
3. Izitayela Zentengo Nezinqubomgomo Zokuhweba
Umbono Wentengo:
- Amanani okuthumela kwamanye amazwe ase-Asia abikezela ku-$1,100-$1,300/MT ububanzi
- Ama-flakes e-rPET abiza i-premium engu-15-20% kunezinto ezibonakalayo
- Ama-pellet e-PET asezingeni lokudla alindeleke ku-$1,350-$1,500/MT
Ukuthuthukiswa Kwenqubomgomo Yezohwebo:
- Imithetho emisha ye-EU ephoqelela okungenani okuqukethwe okuphinde kwasetshenziswa okungu-25%
- Imisebenzi engaba khona yokulwa nokulahla izimpahla kwamanye amazwe ase-Asia akhethiwe
- Izindlela zokulungisa umngcele wekhabhoni ezithinta ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla okude
- Isitifiketi se-ISCC+ siba yindinganiso yemboni yokuzinza
4. Umthelela Wokuzinza Nokusetshenziswa Kabusha Kwezinto
Ukushintsha Kwemakethe:
- Isidingo se-rPET somhlaba wonke sikhula ku-9% CAGR kuze kube ngu-2025
- Amazwe angu-23 asebenzisa izinhlelo zomthwalo wemfanelo wabakhiqizi obanzi
- Imikhiqizo emikhulu izibophezela ekufinyeleleni imigomo yokuqukethwe okusetshenziswe kabusha engu-30-50%.
Intuthuko Yezobuchwepheshe:
- Izitshalo zokuvuselela ama-enzyme zifinyelela izinga lokuhweba
- Ubuchwepheshe bokuhlanza kakhulu obuvumela i-rPET yokuxhumana nokudla
- Izindawo ezintsha ezingu-14 zokuvuselela amakhemikhali ezisakhiwa emhlabeni jikelele
5. Izincomo Ezihlakaniphile Zabathumeli Bamanye Amazwe
- Ukuhlukahluka Komkhiqizo:
- Thuthukisa amamaki akhethekile ezinhlelo zokusebenza ezibiza kakhulu
- Tshala imali ekukhiqizweni kwe-rPET okuvunyelwe ukuxhumana nokudla
- Dala izinhlobo ezithuthukisiwe zokusebenza zezindwangu zobuchwepheshe
- Ukuthuthukiswa Kwendawo:
- Misa izindawo zokuvuselela kabusha eduze kwezikhungo ezinkulu ezidinga usizo
- Sebenzisa izivumelwano zokuhweba zamahhala ze-ASEAN ukuze uthole izinzuzo zentela
- Thuthukisa amasu okusondelana emakethe aseNtshonalanga
- Ukuhlanganiswa Kokuzinza:
- Thola izitifiketi zokuzinza zomhlaba wonke
- Sebenzisa amapasipoti omkhiqizo wedijithali ukuze kulandelelwe
- Bambisana nabanikazi bomkhiqizo ezinhlelweni ezivaliwe
Imakethe yokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-PET ngo-2025 iletha izinselelo kanye namathuba njengoba imithethonqubo yezemvelo ishintsha amaphethini okuhweba endabuko. Abathumeli abaphumelela ukuzivumelanisa nezimfuneko zomnotho ojikelezayo ngenkathi begcina ukuncintisana kwezindleko bazoba sesimweni esihle kakhulu sokusebenzisa isidingo somhlaba wonke esikhulayo.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Agasti-06-2025