I-PET Plastic Raw Material Export Market Outlook 2025: Amathrendi kanye nokuqagela

1. Uhlolojikelele lwemakethe yomhlaba wonke

Imakethe yokuthekelisa ye-polyethylene terephthalate (PET) kulindeleke ukuthi ifinyelele kumathani ayizigidi ezingama-42 ngonyaka ka-2025, imele izinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe elingu-5.3% lonyaka lisuka kumazinga ka-2023. I-Asia isaqhubeka nokubusa ukuhwebelana kwe-PET emhlabeni wonke, okulinganiselwa ku-68% wesamba esithunyelwa ngaphandle, kulandele iMpumalanga Ephakathi ngo-19% kanye neMelika ngo-9%.

Abashayeli Ababalulekile Bemakethe:

• Ukunyuka kwesidingo samanzi asemabhodleleni neziphuzo ezibandayo emazweni asathuthuka kwezomnotho
• Ukwenyuka kokwamukelwa kwe-PET (rPET) egaywe kabusha emaphaketheni
• Ukukhula ekukhiqizeni i-polyester fiber yezindwangu
• Ukwandiswa kwezicelo ze-PET zebanga lokudla

2. I-Regional Export Dynamics

I-Asia-Pacific (i-68% yokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe emhlabeni jikelele)

• I-China: Kulindeleke ukuthi igcine ingxenye yemakethe engama-45% naphezu kwemithetho yezemvelo, ngokwengezwa kwamandla amasha ezifundazweni zaseZhejiang naseFujian
• I-India: Umthengisi okhula ngokushesha kakhulu ekukhuleni kwe-YoY ngo-14%, ozuza ezinhlelweni zokukhuthaza ezixhumene nokukhiqiza
• I-Southeast Asia: I-Vietnam ne-Thailand abavela njengabanye abahlinzeki ngamanani ancintisanayo ($1,050-$1,150/MT FOB)

I-Middle East (19% yokuthunyelwa ngaphandle)

• I-Saudi Arabia kanye ne-UAE zisebenzisa amaketango yenani ahlanganisiwe we-PX-PTA
• Izindleko zamandla okuncintisana zigcina u-10-12% wenzuzo yenzuzo
• Izintengo ze-CFR Europe zilinganiselwa ku-$1,250-$1,350/MT

Amazwe aseMelika (9% wokuthunyelwa ngaphandle)

• I-Mexico iqinisa isikhundla njengendawo eseduze yemikhiqizo yase-US
• I-Brazil iphethe ukuhlinzekwa kweNingizimu Melika ngokukhula kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ngamaphesenti angu-8

3. Amathrendi Amanani Nezinqubomgomo Zohwebo

I-Outlook yentengo:

• Izintengo zokuthekelisa zase-Asia zibikezela ku-$1,100-$1,300/MT ububanzi
• I-rPET flakes iyala i-15-20% ye-premium phezu kwezinto ezingakaze zibonwe
• Amapellets e-PET ebanga lokudla alindelwe ku-$1,350-$1,500/MT

Ukuthuthukiswa Kwenqubomgomo Yezohwebo:

• Imithetho emisha ye-EU egunyaza ubuncane bokuqukethwe okugaywe kabusha okungama-25%.
• Imisebenzi engaba khona yokulwa nokulahla kubathumeli bempahla base-Asia abakhethiwe
• Izindlela zokulungiswa komngcele wekhabhoni ezithinta ukuthunyelwa okude
• Isitifiketi se-ISCC+ siba indinganiso yemboni yokusimama

4. Ukusimama kanye Nomthelela Wokusebenzisa Kabusha

Ukushintsha Kwemakethe:

• Isidingo se-rPET yomhlaba wonke sikhula ku-9% CAGR ngo-2025
• Amazwe angama-23 asebenzisa izinhlelo ezinwetshiwe zesibopho sabakhiqizi
• Amabhrendi amakhulu azibophezela ekuqondisweni kokuqukethwe okugaywe kabusha okungu-30-50%.

Intuthuko Yezobuchwepheshe:

• Izitshalo ezigaywa kabusha ze-Enzymatic ezizuza isikali sokuhweba
• Ubuchwepheshe bokuhlanza kakhulu obuvumela i-rPET yokuxhumana nokudla
• Izikhungo ezintsha eziyi-14 zokugaywa kabusha kwamakhemikhali ezakhiwa emhlabeni jikelele

5. Izincomo Zesu Zabathumeli Bangaphandle

1. Ukuhlukahluka Kwemikhiqizo:
   • Thuthukisa amamaki akhethekile wezinhlelo zokusebenza zenani eliphezulu
   • Tshala ekukhiqizeni okugunyaziwe kwe-rPET okuthintana nokudla
   • Dala okuhlukile okuthuthukisiwe kokusebenza kwezindwangu zobuchwepheshe
2. Ukuthuthukiswa Kwendawo:
   • Sungula izindawo zokugaywa kabusha eduze kwezikhungo ezidinga kakhulu
   • Sebenzisa izivumelwano zokuhweba zamahhala ze-ASEAN ngezinzuzo zentela
   • Thuthukisa amasu okusondela ezimakethe zaseNtshonalanga
3. Ukuhlanganisa Ukusimama:
   • Thola izitifiketi zokusimama zamazwe ngamazwe
   • Sebenzisa amaphasipoti omkhiqizo wedijithali ukuze ukwazi ukulandeleka
   • Uzakwethu nabanikazi bomkhiqizo ezinhlelweni ezivaliwe

Imakethe yokuthekelisa ye-PET ngo-2025 yethula kokubili izinselelo namathuba njengoba imithetho yezemvelo ibumba kabusha amaphethini okuhweba endabuko. Abathekelisi abazivumelanisa ngempumelelo nezidingo zomnotho eziyindilinga kuyilapho begcina ukuqhudelana kwezindleko bazoba sesimweni esingcono kakhulu sokuthola inzuzo ekhulayo emhlabeni jikelele.