Eminyakeni yamuva, imikhiqizo ye-PE iqhubekile nokuqhubekela phambili emgwaqeni wokunwetshwa ngesivinini esikhulu. Nakuba ukuthengiswa kwe-PE emazweni angaphandle kusabala ingxenye ethile, ngokwanda kancane kancane kwamandla okukhiqiza asekhaya, izinga lokwenziwa kwasendaweni kwe-PE libonise inkambiso yokukhula unyaka nonyaka. Ngokwezibalo zikaJinlianchuang, kusukela ngo-2023, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-PE wasekhaya usufinyelele amathani ayizigidi ezingu-30.91, nevolumu yokukhiqiza ezungeze amathani ayizigidi ezingu-27.3; Kulindeleke ukuthi kusazoba namathani ayizigidi ezi-3.45 amandla okukhiqiza aqale ukusebenza ngo-2024, iningi lawo eligxile engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. Kulindeleke ukuthi umthamo wokukhiqiza we-PE ube amathani ayizigidi ezingama-34.36 kanti umphumela uzoba cishe amathani ayizigidi ezingama-29 ngo-2024.
Kusukela ngo-2013 kuya ku-2024, amabhizinisi okukhiqiza i-polyethylene ahlukaniswe ikakhulukazi izigaba ezintathu. Phakathi kwazo, kusukela ngo-2013 kuya ku-2019, ikakhulukazi isigaba sokutshalwa kwezimali kwamalahle emabhizinisini e-olefin, ngokwesilinganiso sonyaka sokwanda kwesikali sokukhiqiza esingamathani angama-950000/ngonyaka; Isikhathi esisuka ku-2020 kuya ku-2023 siyisigaba sokukhiqiza esimaphakathi somkhakha omkhulu wokucwenga kanye namakhemikhali, lapho isilinganiso sonyaka sokukhiqiza eChina sikhule kakhulu, sifinyelela amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.68 ngonyaka; Kulindeleke ukuthi amathani ayizigidi ezi-3.45 amandla okukhiqiza asazosebenza ngo-2024, ngesilinganiso sokukhula esingu-11.16% uma kuqhathaniswa no-2023.
Ukungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kwe-PE kukhombise ukwehla kwezinga unyaka nonyaka. Kusukela ngo-2020, ngokunwetshwa okugxilile kokucwengwa ngezinga elikhulu, umthamo wezokuthutha wamazwe ngamazwe ubuqinile ngenxa yemicimbi yezempilo yomphakathi emhlabeni wonke, futhi amanani okuthutha olwandle anyuke kakhulu. Ngaphansi kwethonya labashayeli bamanani, umthamo wokungenisa we-polyethylene wasekhaya wehle kakhulu kusukela ngo-2021. Kusukela ngo-2022 kuya ku-2023, amandla okukhiqiza e-China ayaqhubeka nokukhula, futhi iwindi le-arbitrage phakathi kwezimakethe zasekhaya nezangaphandle lihlala linzima ukulivula. Ivolumu yokungenisa kwe-PE yamazwe ngamazwe yehlile uma kuqhathaniswa no-2021, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ivolumu yokungenisa kwe-PE yasekhaya izoba amathani ayizigidi ezingu-12.09 ngo-2024. Ngokusekelwe ezindlekweni kanye nephethini yokugeleza kwesidingo sokuhlinzekwa komhlaba wonke, ikusasa noma umthamo wasekhaya we-PE uzoqhubeka. ukuncipha.
Mayelana nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, ngenxa yokukhiqizwa okugxilile kwamayunithi amakhulu okucwengiswa kanye namayunithi e-hydrocarbon alula eminyakeni yamuva nje, amandla okukhiqiza kanye nokuphumayo kwenyuke ngokushesha. Amayunithi amasha anezinhlelo eziningi zokukhiqiza, futhi ingcindezi yokuthengisa inyukile ngemuva kokuthi amayunithi eqale ukusebenza. Ukuqina kokuncintisana ngamanani aphansi kwasekhaya kuye kwaholela ekulimaleni kwenzuzo ngaphansi kokuncintisana kwamanani aphansi, futhi umehluko wentengo oguquliwe wesikhathi eside phakathi kwezimakethe zangaphakathi nezangaphandle wenze kwaba nzima kubathengi abagcina imali ukugaya isikali esinjalo sokwenyuka kokuhlinzekwa kwempahla ngesikhathi esifushane. isikhathi. Ngemuva kuka-2020, umthamo wokuthunyelwa kwe-PE uya e-China ubonise umkhuba wokukhula unyaka nonyaka.
Ngokucindezela okwandayo kokuncintisana kwasekhaya unyaka nonyaka, inkambiso yokufuna ukuthunyelwa kwe-polyethylene ayikwazi ukushintshwa. Mayelana nokuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, i-Middle East, i-United States kanye nezinye izindawo zisenenani elikhulu lezinsiza ezishibhile, futhi ziyaqhubeka nokubheka i-China njengemakethe enkulu kunazo zonke ezihlosiwe zokuthumela ngaphandle. Ngokukhula komthamo wokukhiqiza wasekhaya, ukuncika kwangaphandle kwe-polyethylene kuzokwehla kufinyelele ku-34% ngo-2023. Kodwa-ke, cishe u-60% wemikhiqizo ye-PE ephezulu isathembele ekuthengeni kwamanye amazwe. Nakuba kusenokulindela ukwehla kokuncika kwangaphandle ngokutshalwa kwezimali kwamandla okukhiqiza asekhaya, igebe lesidingo semikhiqizo esezingeni eliphezulu ngeke ligcwaliswe esikhathini esifushane.
Mayelana nokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, ngokukhula kancane kancane kokuncintisana kwasekhaya kanye nokudluliswa kwezimboni ezithile zasekhaya ezisezingeni eliphansi eNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia, isidingo sangaphandle sesiphinde saba inkomba yokuhlola ukuthengiswa kwamabhizinisi okukhiqiza kanye nabanye abahwebi eminyakeni yamuva. Ngokuzayo, kuzophinde kubangele ukwakheka kokuthekelisa, kukhuphule ukuthunyelwa kwempahla emazweni aseNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia, e-Afrika naseNingizimu Melika. Ngaphakathi nezwe, ukuqhubeka nokuqaliswa kwe-Belt and Road kanye nokuvulwa kwamachweba okuhweba ase-Sino Russian kuye kwadala amathuba okukhula kwesidingo se-polyethylene eNyakatho-ntshonalanga ye-Asia Emaphakathi kanye naseNyakatho-mpumalanga ye-Russian Far East.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-06-2024